Los Angeles at Detroit

The LA Angels have really gotten some strong pitching of late, while the Tiger bats have gone quiet. The Angels have held each of their last four opponents to two or fewer runs. The Tigers have scored three runs or fewer in each of their last three games. This is going to draw a lot of bettors onto the Angels as it looks like the perfect storm. History says expect just the opposite. A home team with a line from -125 to +125 that has allowed two or fewer runs in at least four straight games against a team that has failed to score more than three runs in at least two straight gets hammered and is 27-53, with the ROI against them at +26.7%. Make the play on Detroit.