Kansas City at Texas

Zack Greinke has been great this year but his run support is obviously suspect. He'll be faced by Sidney Ponson who has something to prove after being recalled from AAA play. In his first start he gave up just one earned run and one walk in five and a third. The Royals average just 4.1 runs per game vs. righties and Texas is batting .290 for 5.0 runs per game at home. Over their last seven games they are hitting .311 for 6.6 runs per game! So in what could  be a close pitching matchup, we get a home team with a much better and hotter offense. KC hasn't performed well as a favorite and we don't think they should be in that roll today. We'll take the live home dog.