Kansas City at Tampa Bay

This might look like a chalky number, but it is all about odds. The Rays have been better than this number at home against teams that are overall much better than the Royals. The Rays are 89-37 in all home games over their last 126, and 65-22 against a righthand starter. The Royals are fading fast, and Sydney Ponson is a hired gun to just try to eat some innings. The problem is the Royals are just 1-7 in his eight starts and on the season, his ERA is approaching seven. The Rays have too many bats for a starter that has not gotten it done all year, and a team that is finding life difficult on the road. The Royals have really taken a dive going 22-50 in their last 72 games, and I look for Tampa to pour it on here, so the Rays get the call.