Kansas City at St. Louis

The Kansas City Royals have made a lot of progress after last season's debacle, which saw them lose over 100 games. The odds-makers have been onto the Royals' improvement in their pitching department. Looking back at last season, the Royals games averaged 8.9 runs per game, while they have shaved a 1/2 run off those numbers as their games this season have been played to an average total of 8.4 runs per contest. Despite the changes and the book's downshift, the Royals, with a significantly lower average total, have not been corrected enough as they are 51-38-1 to the UNDER on the season. That has carried them to a 9.6% ROI to the UNDER, and I will buy in for this one. Make the play UNDER the total.