Kansas City at Minnesota

KC has posted some surprises this season. Despite their terrible road record, they've won some on the road as a big underdog. But, I don't see them surprising the Twins here. No way. The Twins have a playoff berth in their sights. If they win here and the White Sox lose, they get it. Minnesota is the best home team in the league at 50-24. They have an incredible bullpen (14-3 record, 17-1 on saves and 2.43 ERA at home) and Boof Bonser is a solid starter who is hot. He's got a 4.19 ERA at home this season and over his last three starts, he's held Detroit, Cleveland and Boston to just 6 runs in 19 and two thirds innings. Big favorites of -200 or more with a very good bullpen whose ERA is 3.33 or better facing a starting pitcher with poor control (more than 2.75 walks per start) are 77-12 (87%) over the past decade. KC, losers of six straight games by a combined score of 33-11, have packed it in for the year. Minnesota is motivated and much more talented. Take the Twins.