Kansas City has a losing road record and plays its seventh consecutive road contest. The Royals are 28th in ERA (5.29), 25th in WHIP, and 29th in the bullpen (6.10 ERA), while the offense is 28th in runs scored and slugging, plus dead last in on-base percentage. They're 1-4 in the five starts made by 39-year-old Zack Greinke (4.61 ERA), who has a 6.30 ERA on the road. Even in his better days, Greinke has struggled against the Twins at 5-14 with a 4.51 ERA all-time versus them. Kansas City is on a 3-13 slide, as well as 19-59 as an underdog of +150 or higher. The Royals are also 30-66 against winning teams and 16-40 versus a righty starter. Meanwhile, Minnesota is sixth in the majors in pitching ERA (3.52), and second in WHIP. The Twins play their seventh straight home having won three of four. Starter Tyler Mahle (3.32 ERA) has thrown well and has a 2.25 ERA against the Royals. And Minnesota has won 10 of the last 13 versus Kansas City, including 37-15 in this park. Play Minnesota.
This pick was released to clients on April 27, 2024 at 11:37AM ET.
MLB
Kansas City at Minnesota
April 27, 2023
7:40 PM Eastern
1 unit on Minnesota -190 (moneyline) (risk 1 to return 1.53)
Result:
WIN
WIN
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