Kansas City at Detroit

Jeremy Guthrie has pitched well this season while Justin Verlander has pitched below his normal level. But, I still like Verlander at home here, especially given the offensive pictures for both of these clubs right now. The Royals offense produces just 4.0 runs per game. And on the season in day games, that's just 3.8. Over their last seven games, Detroit has managed just 2.4 runs per game, so I expect Verlander to do very well this afternoon. Detroit is getting 4.7 per game overall and 4.9 vs. RHP like Guthrie. In their division games, the Tigers are averaging 5.4 runs per game, and over their past seven games overall, 5.6 runs per game. Take the home team here and play on the Tigers.