Kansas City continues to be a dog despite playing well, winning two of the last three games as a dog of +160 each time. They blasted the Tigers 9-5 in the opener of this series, then lost 2-1 yesterday. This is a good Kansas City offense, one ranked 12th in baseball in runs, 5th in batting average and 9th in on base percentage. They face a very hittable pitcher in Rick Porcello, who has an ERA over five for the season and 5.63 his last three starts. The Royals have faced him a lot this season and teed off him, getting 22 hits and four walks in 16+ innings. He’s not a strikeout pitcher and the Royals have put the ball in play a lot against him. You would think that a pitcher who throws his home games in a huge place like Comerica Park would be great at home, but Porcello is 5-5 with a 6.00 ERA in this park, where opponents hit .305 off him! Play the Royals.