This pick was released to clients on September 03, 2023 at 11:59AM ET.
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Kansas City at Cleveland

September 3, 2018
img4:10 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Kansas City is on a hot run, but they just finished a nine-game homestand, the last five against bad teams (Tigers, Orioles). Kansas City is also a bad team, ranked #29 in runs scored and #26 in on-base percentage and slugging. The Royals are on a 23-54 run, as well as 13-39 on the road against winning teams. Starter Jakob Junis struggles on the road with a losing record and a 4.55 ERA. Batters are hitting .280 off him on the road. He faces a Cleveland offense that is third in runs scored, fifth in on-base percentage, and third in slugging. Cleveland starter Adam Plutko throws well at home, with a 28-6 strikeout to walk ratio in 36+ innings allowing fewer hits than innings pitched. The Indians are on a 74-36 run at home, plus 35-17 versus a right-handed starter. The Royals are 6-20 in the last 26 meetings in Cleveland, getting beat 6-2 and 11-2 the last two meetings here. Play Cleveland on the runline.

1 unit on Cleveland -1.5 runs -105 (runline) (risk 1 to return 1.95)
Result:
LOSS
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