This pick was released to clients on February 05, 2013 at 2:05PM ET.
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Kansas City at Cleveland

August 13, 2006
img1:05 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

After taking a comfortable 4-2 lead into the ninth yesterday, the Indians let the Royals tie it up. But, in true Royals (road game) fashion, they allowed a late run to secure a win for us on Cleveland. KC starts Luke Hudson this afternoon who is actually 4-0 in his starts with a 3.68 ERA. But, let's not forget there are other factors here. First off, Cleveland counters with a starter who has also been killing it. Jeremy Sowers has a 3.54 home ERA that is down to 2.14 over his last three starts. And then we have the bullpen situation. This is what got us the victory yesterday. As a reminder, KC's has a 5.67 road ERA and 6-14 record. The Royals are now averaging 3.8 runs per game on the road so don't expect much production vs. Sowers. Celveland pounds in 5.6 per game at home and 5.8 per game vs. right handed starters. The Royals are 4-35 on the road over the past two seasons vs. teams scoring 5.2+ runs per game. This season they are 3-26 on the road vs. good power teams that average 1.25+ home runs per game (Indians average 1.26). Indians here.

4 units on Cleveland -191 (moneyline) (risk 4 to return 6.09)
Result:
WIN
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