Kansas City at Boston

The Boston Red Sox expected big things off of last year's world title as they are featuring pretty much the same lineup. That has not been the case. This team has simply played with a lack of purpose, unlike the 2013 squad. The Red Sox averaged 5.2 runs per game a year ago, but this season they are averaging less than 4 runs per game. The pitching is not as good either. After allowing 3.9 runs per game a year ago, they allow 4.3 this season. The pitching has, however, gotten a big lift from Rubby De La Rosa who has allowed just 12 runs in six starts on the season. Danny Duffy has allowed 3 runs or fewer in seven of his last eight starts, and carries a strong 2.76 ERA into this contest. Boston has gotten great work out of the back of their pen, and low-scoring games have been their strong suit. Playing to an anticipated low-scoring game, Boston is 12-2 in their last 14 to a total of 7 to 8.5. They are also 17-4 to the UNDER in their last 21 at home to a total of 7 to 8.5. Kansas City is now 33-14-5 to the UNDER as a dog from +110 to +150. Boston is also 23-8 to the UNDER when following a win. Kansas City has stumbled in Beantown, where they are 13-29 in their last 42 at Fenway. Kansas City bares the burden of a 2-8 record on the road vs. a team with a losing home record in their last 10, and are also 0-4 behind Duffy in his last four as a dog. Take Boston and the UNDER.