Kansas City at Boston

Big line but I'm taking it. Boston, with New York on their heels, knows they cannot afford to lose to the lowly KC Royals at home. With Jon Lester on the mound (4-0, 2.89 ERA), they should easily get the win. The Royals go with Brandon Duckworth who is 1-2 with a 5.40 ERA. After a nice little run, KC has slipped back into horrible play as they have lost six of their last seven. On the road, they are 13-37 losing by an average of 2.3 runs per game. Over the past two seasons on the road, when facing a team that scores 5.2+ runs per game, the Royals are 4-30. The Red Sox at home against right handers are nearly unbeatable. Boston is 29-4 at home the last two seasons vs. teams that are outscored by opponents by 1/2 or more per game. And, while this is a huge line, consider that Boston is 25-2 the last three seasons as a home favorite of -250 to -330 over the past three seasons. Red Sox here.