This pick was released to clients on October 02, 2024 at 12:14PM ET.
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Kansas City at Baltimore

October 2, 2024
img4:38 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Baltimore faces elimination and will turn to Zach Eflin today, looking for five or six good innings. They have won seven of his past nine starts. Eflin has allowed only 16 runs in that span in 55 1/3 innings pitched and he has a 2.66 ERA in 11 home appearances this season. Baltimore hitters have a .375 batting average with seven extra-base hits in 32 at-bats against Seth Lugo. Three of the four playoff games easily stayed UNDER yesterday, and Kansas City is 89-69 UNDER this season. The Royals have gone UNDER six straight as underdogs, six in a row on the road against teams with winning records and they are 5-0 UNDER their past five versus pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower. Baltimore has a rested bullpen as Corbin Burnes went eight innings on Tuesday. Take the Orioles and the UNDER.

2 units on Baltimore -142 (moneyline) (risk 2 to return 3.41)
Result:
LOSS
2 units on Game Total UNDER 7.5 -105 (risk 2 to return 3.9)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
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Baltimore Orioles
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