Kansas City at Baltimore

When Zack Greinke's name appears in the probable pitchers list, it is hard to ignore what he has done on the season. It also must be noted that he is just one element in many variables that enter into the selection process. Greinke, for as good as he has been, is pitching for a very bad team and even with Grienke on the hill they are still a bad team. The Royals are just 4-10 in Grienke's last 14 starts and it is because they are a soft hitting team, but a bigger reason is the bullpen is allowing 2.8 runs a game once he departs which makes his stellar 2.04 ERA on the season inflate to a nine inning rating of 4.84, or below average. The Birds have found a good spot for top prospect Chris Tillman to make his debut. Tillman carried a 2.70 ERA in AAA and is considered a top prospect. I'm going with the Orioles on the runline here.