Houston at Texas

Kason Gabbard hasn't won in five games, but he still doesn't have a loss and has posted a 2.12 ERA (1.64 in his last three starts). With the Astros averaging just 4.5 runs per game on the road, we see them struggling to score a lot here. Texas is a team that can put up runs at home for sure. But, Backe hasn't been horrible. The Astros are 17-9 UNDER on the road this season. They are also 9-1 UNDER on the road following a loss. Brandon Backe is 12-2 UNDER as a road dog of +100 to +150 over the past decade. Texas, over the past three seasons is 42-22 UNDER after a 4+ run win. This total is just too high, and it asks too much from Texas to reach.