Houston at Texas

The Texas Rangers are in an elongated stretch of facing teams that are below .500 on the season. This will be their 22nd consecutive game facing a losing team, and they have breezed the first two in this series against the Astros. Houston wins less than one of every three games, and it looks like an improbable task for them to win here as a huge dog. The fact is, Houston has a high winning percentage on the season when playing as a dog of greater than +190 where they are 13-18, winning 42% of all games. That is about 10% higher than the rest of their schedule. Teams tend to be flat against them, and the odds are at the same time inflated because of their poor record. They return +37.1% as a dog of greater than +190 this season, and are definitely the value-laden side here, so play on Houston.