Houston at Texas

Houston has more talent than the record suggests. They opened the season with a seven-game road trip and the offense is still ranked fifth in baseball in slugging. The Astros are 10-3 after allowing five runs or more in their previous game. Veteran righty Doug Fister is on the mound, beating Milwaukee in his only other road start, walking two and fanning six in five innings. The last three-plus years Fister is 17-13 on the road with a 3.61 ERA, going 2-0 against Texas. The Astros are 10-3 when their opponent scores five runs or more in their previous game and face a Texas team that is 8-22 against an opponent with a winning percentage below .400. Texas starter Cole Hamels has dealt with command issues, walking eight in 18+ innings, and just allowed nine baserunners in five+ innings against Baltimore. Hamels has a 4.79 ERA in 11 career starts against the Astros, making this a great spot to back the undervalued dog. Play Houston.