Houston at Seattle

Houston has a losing road record. Starter Framber Valdez has a 3.97 ERA on the road. He's struggled against the Mariners this season at 0-2 with a 6.35 ERA. The Astros are also 11-2 UNDER the total versus the AL West. Seattle has a strong home field advantage at 30-19 at home. Starter George Kirby (3.29 ERA) has a 2.63 ERA at home this season with a 61-to-7 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 54+ innings. The Mariners are 11-2 when Kirby starts at home as chalk of -150 or lower. They're also 5-1-1 UNDER in divisional play, so back home field in a defensive duel. Play Seattle + UNDER the total.