The San Diego Padres have most definitely been a tale of two teams this season. There is the road version of this team that is a very disappointing 12-26, but then there is the home version, that is a very good 21-15. The Padres are giving up five runs per game on the road, but just four at home. The Astros have exactly the opposite happening in their games as they allow 4.5 at home, but five on the road. Roy Oswalt has not been pitching well this season, and his last five starts as a road favorite of -110 to -150 have resulted in four Astros losses, and the Astros have dropped five of their last six series openers as well. The Padres are now 5-1 in Geer's last six starts as a home dog, and overall the Padres have taken six straight against the NL Central Division. I like San Diego on the runline here.
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