Houston at Pittsburgh

The Pittsburgh Pirates have gotten a lot of mileage out of A.J. Burnett, but we have seen him lose concentration against bad teams, and get hit hard. The Pirates have won his last 10 starts, and after pummeling the Astros yesterday this one may appear too easy. Lucas Harrell has pitched well enough to be over .500 on a losing team, so he is capable here of keeping the Astros in this one. The Pirates may need to make some adjustments here as they have never faced him before. Houston has been able to score on the road vs. right-hand pitching leading them to a 10-2 mark to the OVER in their last 12 facing one, and just 11 of their last 40 as a dog from +151 to +200 have stayed UNDER the total. The Pirates enter at 7-0-1 to the OVER in their last eight vs. the division, and have now gone eight straight overall without playing an UNDER at 6-0-2 to the OVER. The Pirates have had no luck with Davis calling balls and strikes as they are 3-10 in their last 13 with him making the calls behind the plate. Play on Houston and take the OVER.