Houston at New York

The defending champs are on a 10-5 run, as well as an 11-4 run away from home. Houston's offense is 11th in runs scored, 13th in slugging, and 13th in steals, while the pitching is No. 2 in ERA (3.77). The Astros are 81-47 versus winning teams, 16-8 on the road after a defeat, and 92-47 against opponents with bullpen WHIPs of 1.250 or better. New York has dropped five of nine losing twice as a favorite. The offense is just 20th in runs scored, 26th in on-base percentage, 18th in slugging, and 20th in steals. Starter Luis Severino (7.49 ERA) has been awful with batters hitting .329 off him. The Yankees are 8-18 after two or more straight victories and 28-40 versus winning teams in the second half of the season. Play Houston.