Houston at Minnesota

Houston has a losing road record and is scuffling. Houston is 3-10 in its last 13 games and is averaging just 2.4 runs in that span. The Astros go with erratic righty Collin McHugh (7-8, 4.73 ERA), who has a losing road mark with a 5.44 ERA. His last two starts have been poor (both losses), allowing 16 hits and 11 runs in 8+ innings. Minnesota has quietly won six of eight, cashing five times as a dog. That included a 6-3 win yesterday at Tampa Bay. The Twins have scored six runs or more in those six victories and are 6-2 in Tyler Duffey's last eight starts, so grab the home dog. Play Minnesota.