Houston at Milwaukee

Milwaukee goes for the sweep of the Astros and we like their chances of getting it in what should be a high-scoring affair. David Bush is 1-5 with a 6.04 ERA. Milwaukee averages just 4.2 runs per game overall but against RHP they get 4.4 and in 24 day games they have averaged 4.8 per contest. Shawn Chacon is just 6-25 on the road vs. NL teams averaging under 4.4 runs per game. Meanwhile Dave Bush is 14-2 the past three seasons at home vs. winning teams! While 34-14 to the UNDER in night games, Houston is 8-8 OVER-UNDER in day games. The Brew Crew are 100-73 OVER after and UNDER the past three seasons. Under Yost, this team is 60-42 OVER at home after a game in which they allowed under 3 runs. We like the Brewers and the OVER here.