Houston at Los Angeles

We have a huge park in Dodger Stadium and two teams that struggle to score runs. The Dodgers are No. 28 baseball in runs scored and No. 25 in slugging, while Houston’s offense ranks No. 25 in runs scored and No. 23 in on-base percentage. Houston has scored just 1 run the last 18 innings, both in this park, and face Hiroki Kuroda (3.06 ERA), who has a 1.91 ERA in 37 career innings against them. The UNDER is 7-3 in the Astros last 10 against a team with a losing record and 5-2 UNDER in their last seven road games vs. a right-handed starter. The Dodgers have never faced Jordan Lyles before and the kid has walked no batters in his last 18 innings (just 18 walks in 79 innings on the season), which will be a big plus in a huge park like Dodger stadium. The UNDER is 10-3 in the Dodgers last 13 games as a home favorite of -151 to -200 and 4-1 to the UNDER in Kuroda’s last five starts against a team with a losing record. I don’t see much scoring and note that the UNDER is also 4-1 in Kuroda’s last five starts against the Astros.  Play the UNDER. I also like the Astros on the runline. What have the Dodgers accomplished to be this big a favorite in this one? LA has lost four of the last six, mostly at home, and has a pop-gun offense, ranking No. 28 in runs scored and No. 25 in slugging. LA has a losing record both home and away and is going nowhere. The LA offense has to face a pitcher they have never seen before in Jordan Lyles, who doesn’t walk anyone, posting a solid 54-18 strikeout to walk ratio in 79 innings.  The Dodgers are just 2-5 in their last seven home games and 2-6 in Hiroki Kuroda’s last eight home starts against a team with a losing record. Kurodi has good overall numbers but is just 7-14 on the season because the LA offense doesn’t get him any runs, making this a great spot for the big dog to keep it close or steal a win.  Play the Astros on the run-line.