This pick was released to clients on October 14, 2015 at 10:11AM ET.
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Houston at Kansas City

October 14, 2015
img8:05 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Kansas City's experience in elimination games came in handy as the Royals rallied from a four-run deficit and won game four of this series. Johnny Cueto has been a disappointment since coming over from the Reds but the fact the Royals were able to pull out a win in his last start could give him the confidence he needs going into today.  Cueto allowed four runs and seven hits in six innings on Friday.  Cueto did not face Houston this season but in the three previous years the right-hander was 2-1 with a 2.25 ERA allowing four runs in 16 innings against the Astros.  As with most of Houston's pitchers, Collin McHugh was more effective at home than on the road where he was 7-4 with an ERA of 4.05.  The Astros are just 35-49 away from home while Kansas City is 52-31 at home.  Look for the Royals recent playoff experience and home field to be the difference.  Play the Royals.

1.5 units on Kansas City -124 (moneyline) (risk 1.5 to return 2.71)
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