Houston at Cleveland

Houston's offense is just 21st in on-base percentage but the pitching staff is armed to the teeth. The Astros are No. 1 in the majors in ERA (3.28) and fourth in the pen (3.24). Houston is on an 11-5 run UNDER the total on the road, 21-10 UNDER versus a righty starter, and 48-28 UNDER against a team with a bullpen ERA of 3.45 or better. Cleveland's offense is a weak link ranked 27th in runs scored and 24th in on-base percentage, but the pitching is eighth in ERA (3.79) and second in the pen (3.04). And Cleveland is 63-45 UNDER the total against winning teams. Take Houston/Cleveland UNDER the total.