Houston at Chicago

The Chicago Cubs are beginning to get it going. Last season, they were the only National League team to win over 50 games at home, and they did it by a lot at 55. This season, they are 11-6 at home, and now 7-1 in their last eight outings at Wrigley. They have plated 49 runs in the eight games, or just over eight runs per game. Houston is a weak hitting team that found some success in the thin air and poor pitching in Colorado and in San Diego, who has dropped 19 of 23. They are a poor 5-16 as a +100 to +150 favorite, showing that they have trouble in these situations. The Cubs have been absolute murderers on teams with a losing record as they are now an awe inspiring 41-12 in their last 53 against them. That converts to 77.4% winners, enough for me to back Chicago in this one.