Houston at Boston

Boston is off to a strong start, but they've had an easy schedule and are not a great team; the bottom part of the order has a lot of holes. Boston is favored by a big margin here, but the Red Sox are 7-19 in their last 26 games as a home favorite of -151 to -200. Bud Norris goes for Houston, their lone quality arm, a 3-2 record and a 4.13 ERA. Norris threw 96 pitches his last start, a 3-2 win over Seattle. Boston goes with whipping boy John Lackey, back from injury again and one of the worst free agent signings any organization has made. His ERA is a tad higher than Norris and he has an 11.57 ERA in his career against Houston. The Red Sox are 2-5 in Lackey's last seven starts and  1-4 in his last five home starts, so don't trust the lousy arm as big chalk. Play the Astros.