Houston at Baltimore

Houston is a talented young team in a pennant race, winning two in a row over Baltimore, including yesterday as a dog. Alex Bregman and George Springer each belted two-run shots in Saturday's 12-2 rout, moving the team up to #11 in baseball in runs scored. The pitching staff ranks 10th in baseball in ERA (3.99). The Astros send reigning AL Cy Young Award winner Dallas Keuchel to the mound with a winning record over his last 10 starts. Baltimore is in a pennant race, too, but not playing like it on a 6-10 slide. The starting pitching is suspect at #21 in baseball in team ERA. The Orioles are stuck with Yovani Gallardo (5.18 ERA), who has been taken deep in five of his last six trips to the mound. He's allowed 46 walks in 83+ innings this season, a terrible ratio, and has allowed more hits than innings pitched. He has a losing record at home the last four years in which time Houston has hit him at a .288 clip in 26 innings, allowing 32 hits and 10 walks. Take Houston.