Houston at Atlanta

Atlanta manages only 4.1 per game at home and they have been holding opponents to only 3.2 runs per game this season. Today they start Tommy Hanson who has posted a 2.51 ERA (1.45 in his last three). Backing him up is a bullpen that has produced a 2.78 ERA on the season, allowing just 39 earned runs and 43 walks to 130 strikeouts. That's going to make it very tough for Houston to score today. The Astros are just 6-12 on the road this season thanks to only 4.0 runs per game. Over their last seven games, they are averaging just 3.9 per game. Houston is 20-7 UNDER since last season when facing a great bullpen (WHIP of 1.250 or worse). Atlanta has faced eight NL opponents this season that average 4.8+ runs per game allowed and the UNDER has come through all eight times. I like this game to come in UNDER the total as well.