The Oakland A's won yesterday's game 2-0 over the last 8 innings, but the 3-spot the Tigers hung on Bartolo Colon in the first inning was decisive. Justin Verlander had a spotty year for the Tigers, finishing with his highest ERA since 2008. His once dominating 100 MPH fastball has lost a few MPHs as he is consistently under 95 now. I think Oakland is going to get some good at-bats against him in this game. Sonny Gray finished strong and overall was 5-3 for the A's with a 2.67 ERA. This game is likely to see a lot more scoring opportunities than yesterday. Oakland has been strong in the role of a dog from +110 to +150 where they are 8-1 in their last nine. And coming off a loss this team has continued to come up big at 10-1 in their last 11. The A's have been at their best vs. right-handed pitching where they are 64-27 in their last 91 when facing one. The Tigers were just about automatic with Verlander on the mound, but are now 1-9 in his last 10 starts. Detroit is 10-4 to the OVER in their last 14 vs. a pitcher with a WHIP under 1.15. Oakland is 5-0 to the OVER to a total of 7 to 8.5 in their last five at home, and six of the last seven in this series have topped the total. Play Oakland and the OVER.
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