Detroit at Kansas City

Justin Verlander is scary, but there's reason to believe the Royals can hang here. The Tigers are a losing team on the road (21-24) and they are just 41-60 on the road the past three seasons vs. losing teams. Overall the past three seasons on the road, this team is 86-123. Over the past three seasons, Detroit is just 5-18 on the road after a game in which they allowed 9+ runs. Kansas City has found some offense and they are playing at home here. Over their last seven games, KC has averaged nearly 7 runs per game. Jeff Francis has pitched very well at home (2.97 ERA). If Verlander has an Achilles heel, it's pitching duels on the road. When taking to the road with a total set below 8, he's just 5-15 the past two seasons. We'll take the +1.5 insurance here and back the Royals on the runline.