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Detroit at Kansas City

August 29, 2007
img12:00 AM Eastern
Premium Pick

Detroit has lost 12 of their last 17 games vs. division rivals. Ouch. Tonight two average pitchers who have been terrible of late meet. Andrew Miller has a 9.45 ERA in his last three starts while Zack Greinke has a 9.00 ERA in his last three. We like the vet's mindset here more than the fragile rookie's. And, KC has a much better bullpen (3.80 ERA with 76% saves at home this year). Miller's last outing resulted in 6 runs allowed in 4.3 innings. Detroit has lost 14 of their last 19 road games while KC has won 21 of their last 36 at home and the Royals remain a bit under-the-radar. Detroit is 71-61 overall but sub-.500 vs. right handed pitchers. They also seem to drop to the level of their competition. Detroit is just 4-9 since the All Star break vs. teams under 47% and 8-15 vs. AL teams that score 4.7 or less per game.

3 units on Kansas City +108 (moneyline) (risk 3 to return 3)
Result:
WIN
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