Detroit at Cleveland

Can't trust erratic Detroit on the road. The Tigers are 0-6 in their last six games as a road favorite. Detroit is 5-14 as chalk, and even with ace Max Scherzer going they are 1-4 in his last five starts as a road favorite. Cleveland winds up a nice six-game home stand and plays hard for manager Terry Francona. Cleveland is sixth in runs scored and on-base percentage, plus 12th in slugging. The Indians are 11-3 in their last 14 home games. Starter Josh Tomlin is very good (3.86 ERA), walking seven in 51 innings with 42 strikeouts, and the Indians are 11-4 in his last 15 home starts against a team with a winning record. Play on the Indians.