Colorado at Milwaukee

The Milwaukee Brewers haven't been able to find their way on the road where they are just 8-17, but backed by the home crowd, they have been playoff caliber at 13-6 on the season. They sandwiched a 5-1 home stand around a pair of road trips that saw them finish 3-10. The Rockies’ road woes are well documented vs. top home teams. They may be 12-9 on the season, but the last 12 times they have paired off with a home team over the .600 mark they have gone just 2-8. The Brewers have been at their best at home vs. teams with a winning record with a resounding 11-1 mark in their last 12. Milwaukee gets this one. I also like the UNDER here. Zack Greinke has not done well thus far in 2011, but he's better than his stats indicate. Against the Rocks on the road, I think he'll have success. Jason Hammel has pitched to a 1.37 ERA on the road and while I don't expect him to keep that up, I don't see him getting shellacked here either. Both teams have good bullpens (Colorado 3.53 ERA and Milwaukee 3.63). In the road underdog role of +100 to +150, the Rockies are 54-34 UNDER the past three seasons. Since last season, Colorado is also 40-24 UNDER on the road to a total of 7 to 8.5. Take the home team and the UNDER in this one.