This pick was released to clients on June 29, 2014 at 9:48AM ET.
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Colorado at Milwaukee

June 29, 2014
img2:10 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Colorado is in Milwaukee, a great offensive park, and this is a good spot for the dog and a high scoring game. Colorado is a dog, but has a quality starter going in Jorge De La Rosa (7-6), with the team 6-3 his last nine starts. The Rockies are 16-6 in De La Rosa's last 22 starts, as well as 9-3 when he faces a team with a winning record. Colorado has a powerhouse offense, second in baseball in runs scored and on base percentage, tops in batting average and slugging. The Rockies are 4-1 in De La Rosa's last five road starts, plus 4-1 when he's a road underdog. Milwaukee's Yovani Gallardo is just 2-2 at home, and the Brewers are 1-7 when Gallardo faces the Rockies, making this is a great spot for the dog. In addition, look for plenty of runs. Colorado is on a 12-3-3 run OVER the total. And it's not just Coors Field, as the OVER is 8-2-1 in the Rockies last 11 road games. The OVER is also 12-5-2 in De La Rosa's last 19 starts. Plus, Milaukee is a high scoring team on a 21-10-2 run OVER the total. And the OVER is 12-5 in the Brewers last 17 home games. When these teams meet, the OVER is 15-5-2 in the last 22 meetings. Play Colorado and the Rockies/Brewers OVER the Total.

1 unit on Colorado +161 (moneyline) (risk 1 to return 2.57)
Result:
WIN
1 unit on Game Total OVER 8.5 -107 (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
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