Colorado at Miami

This game poses some value based on the following. The Colorado Rockies are 5th in the league in run production at five runs a game vs righthand pitching. That number drops considerably to 4.4 runs a game vs leftahnd pitching and even further as they score just 3.7 runs a game in all road games this season. The Marlins score 4.6 runs a game vs righthanders but just 4.1 against lefthanders on the season. We have a situation that shows both teams at their minimal run production, with a total posted that is a full run too high. Just six of Francis' last 26 road starts vs a team with a losing record have topped the total. Going into Monday's game, the last six Marlin games have gone UNDER, producing an average of just four runs a game. I like the UNDER in this one.