This pick was released to clients on February 05, 2013 at 2:55PM ET.
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Colorado at Los Angeles

September 3, 2006
img4:10 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Our lone favorite play today features a 44-26 home team vs. a 27-41 road team. LA has won seven straight while Colorado has lost four of five. The Dodgers score 5.6 per game at home (7.0 per game over their current win streak) while the Rockies score 4.2 per game on the road. Why is this line not bigger? Aaron Sele has struggled of late but he's still 6-1 with a 2.45 ERA at home! Byung-Hyun Kim is 2-6 on the road with a 7.62 ERA and he's struggled even more lately (0-3 with a 12.21 ERA). Why is this line not bigger I ask again? Is it because Colorado does well agains the Dodgers? No. LA is 12-3 vs. Colorado this season including 8-1 here in LA! Is it because Colorado performs well vs. good teams? No. The Rocks are 1-13 on the road vs. teams at 54%+. Is it because LA suffers a letdown after a big win (they won 14-5 last night)? No. LA is 12-1 after a 10+ run performance this season. I honestly don't know why this line is so low. Take the Dodgers.

 

3 units on Los Angeles -154 (moneyline) (risk 3 to return 4.95)
Result:
LOSS
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