Colorado at Los Angeles

It is hard not to lean on Clayton Kershaw to win a game, and it seems suicidal to wager against him. His last 17 starts at home show that he has allowed more than three runs in just three of them, and seven of the 17 have resulted in the opponent scoring one or fewer runs. While the moneyline is stacked against him, requiring prohibitive juice, the runline becomes an enticing proposition as the Dodgers often times need to score just three runs to get over the top. The fact is that the Dodgers are plating 5.7 runs per game as home chalk this season, and have scored four runs or more in 14 of their last 16 as a home favorite on the season. The math says this one is glimmering with value, so take LA on the runline.