Cleveland at Toronto

Cleveland spent much of the first half of the season in the AL Central lead, but they have since come back to earth and trail Chicago by three games. It's a similar situation to last season when they led the division on July 15th but finished 31-40. Neither of these starters instills much confidence although at home Ricky Romero has gone 5-1 thanks to great run support. The offenses will make the difference here and Toronto has the distinct advantage, averaging 5.2 runs per game at home. Cleveland gets just 4.1 per game vs. southpaws like Romero. Take the Jays.