Cleveland at Toronto

It is hard to pass this one up. As good as Roy Halladay has been of late, Paul Byrd has been even better. Byrd is pitching to a 0.90 ERA over his last three starts and getting this kind of dog value with a hot pitcher makes sense to us. Roy Halladay has been one of the most consistent pitchers in baseball over the past several years, but looking close at home games where the Jays have been prohibitive favorites like today, the results have not been there. The Jays are just 2-3 this season when Halladay starts a game at home with a moneyline of -170 or higher and have been outscored 21-19. There is value at this price on the Tribe especially with a neutralizing hot pitcher, so we will back the Indians here.