This pick was released to clients on February 05, 2013 at 2:49PM ET.
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Cleveland at Texas

September 1, 2006
img8:05 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

I like Texas here as they are 5-1 in the last six games played here and 13-5 vs. Cleveland overall in the last 18. Jake Westbrook and Vicente Padilla on the surface look very similar with 4.27 and 4.16 ERAs, respectively. But, on the road Westbrook is 5-5 with a 5.88 ERA and at home, Padilla is 7-3 with a 4.52 ERA. Huge bullpen difference here as the Indians' has a 4-17 record and 5.80 ERA on the road while Texas' has a 3.85 ERA at home. This is a big reason why Cleveland is just 26-38 on the road. Texas is 29-7 as a home favorite in this range the last three seasons as they tend to take care of business when they are expected to. Rangers here.

 

2 units on Texas -136 (moneyline) (risk 2 to return 3.47)
Result:
LOSS
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