This pick was released to clients on February 05, 2013 at 2:18PM ET.
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Cleveland at Tampa Bay

August 19, 2006
img7:15 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

We got the win with Tampa Bay last night at +156 as it played out perfectly. Cleveland just doesn't do well in dome games and we knew Tampa could hit the Indian's weak bullpen. They did just that scoring 5 runs in the seventh through ninth innings to get the victory. That pushes Cleveland's bullpen to a 3-17 mark on the road. So we again have a situation where the bullpen could make the differnce and a Cleveland offense that scores just 3.9 per game indoors. Cleveland starts a lefty and Tampa Bay scores 5.1 per game vs. lefities (vs. around 4 vs. righties). And, they are now 31-28 at home. Again, they face a good Cleveland starter in Jeremy Sowers. But, they counter with a better pitcher than they had last night. Tim Corcoran has a 3.60 home ERA and perfect 2-0 record. As a favorite of -125 to -175 this season, Cleveland has a weak 14-18 record. On the road as a favorite they are 9-17 on the year. And they are just 22-25 vs. losing teams this year. Again, in a game that looks on the surface to be a good spot for Cleveland is really a bad spot for them as again I expect the bullpen play to make a difference tonight.

 

2 units on Tampa Bay +122 (moneyline) (risk 2 to return 4.44)
Result:
LOSS
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