Cleveland at Minnesota

Cleveland is 13-7 and Minnesota just 8-12. But no matter here as I look for the Twins win this game. Carl Pavano has had some bad outings this season, but he's improving. In his lone home start he went 8 innings, giving up just one walk and one run. He hasn't had a lot of run support thus far ,but I think he gets enough today. The Indians are averaging just 4.5 runs per game on the road and 4.2 vs. RHP. Since last season, the Twins are 17-5 following a win by 6+ runs (they won 10-3 last game). They are also 25-4 over that span as a home favorite in the -125 to -150 range. I like Minnesota here.