This pick was released to clients on October 06, 2018 at 12:03PM ET.
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Cleveland at Houston

October 6, 2018
img4:35 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Cleveland has not been a strong road team this season at 42-39 after losing Game 1, 7-2. Indians starter Carlos Carrasco had a 5.40 ERA in two starts against Houston this season as the Astros hit .283 off him. That included a 3-1 loss in this park. Defending champion Houston has it all at sixth in runs scored during the regular season, seventh in on-base percentage, and eighth in slugging, while the pitching staff was #1 in team ERA (3.11) and the defense was tops in fielding. The Astros are on a 21-6 run, plus 84-40 against a right-handed starter. Houston starter Gerrit Cole (2.88 ERA) quietly had a brilliant season with 276 strikeouts in 200 innings as batters hit just .188 off him. He faced the Indians once and threw a four-hitter in seven innings holding the Indians to a .174 batting average. The Astros are also 24-8 in Cole's last 32 starts, winning by two or more runs 18 times. Take Houston on the runline. 

1.5 units on Houston -1.5 runs +150 (runline) (risk 1.5 to return 3.75)
Result:
WIN
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