Cleveland at Detroit

Cleveland is in first place but plays best at home, one-game over .500 on the road. This is the start of a season-ending seven-game trip for Cleveland, losing two of the last three as chalk. Indians righty Mike Clevinger (2-2, 4.65 ERA) has been mainly a reliever and has walked 27 in 50+ innings. He is worse on the road with a 6.04 ERA. He faces a strong Detroit offense that is #11 in baseball in runs scored, plus fifth in slugging and on-base percentage. The Tigers are 20-6 at home against a team with a winning road record. Detroit righty Justin Verlander (15-8, 3.21 ERA) is off a dominant performance of Minnesota, striking out 11 while giving up two runs on four hits. He dominated Cleveland on September 17, giving up one hit over seven scoreless innings and the Tigers are 10-4 in his last 14 home starts. Detroit is also 44-21 when Verlander is at home against a team with a winning record and this shapes up as a one-sided game. Take Detroit on the runline.