Cleveland at Detroit

Cleveland has lost six of the last seven against Detroit, and the Indians are 0-4 in their last four against a team with a winning record. Cleveland is a bad road team and has Trevor Bauer (5-8, 4.12 ERA) going, who is 1-5 with a 5.20 ERA on the road. Bauer took the loss his last start, giving up four earned runs on four hits, while walking one, and fanning eight against the visiting Twins. He's allowed eight runs and five walks his last 13+ innings (0-2). Bauer has a 4.88 ERA against Detroit, a team ranked second in baseball in runs scored and slugging and tops in batting and on base percentage. The Tigers are 7-0 in their last seven home games against a team with a losing road record. The first place Tigers are also 7-2 in Justin Verlander's last nine home starts against the Indians, so grab home field. Play the Tigers.