Cleveland at Detroit

The Cleveland Indians were a big surprise last year, and found themselves in the playoffs. The Tigers had a huge lead on the Tribe starting September last season, and Cleveland nearly overtook them, so the margin between these teams is shrinking. Sanchez needed 110 pitches just to get through five innings in his last start, and the Tigers' bullpen woes continue, as Joe Nathan blew the save in that one. Zach McAllister was sharp in his last start, throwing 70 of 99 pitches for strikes in a shutout win over San Diego. The Tribe is now 5-0 in their last five vs. a right-handed starter, and 17-6 in their last 23 vs. a team that scored 2 or fewer runs in their previous game. They are also 14-3 in McAllister's last 17 starts to a total of 7 to 8.5. Make the play on Cleveland.