Cleveland at Cincinnati

Cleveland is in last place for a reason and it has to do with allowing 5.6 runs per game (6.3 per game on the road). Even Cliff Lee has had his problems. Despite a nice ERA, the Indians are 2-5 in his starts. Johnny Cueto has posted a 2.35 ERA and 4-2 record for the Reds. The Indians are favored on the road and we're going to jump on that fade given their 8-13 record this season as a favorite and 12-23 record against RHP this season. Cleveland is also off a win and they are 3-13 this season in that situation. Reds get the call here.