Cleveland at Tampa Bay

Cleveland heads out on the road after a seven-game homestand. They're on a 4-9 run overall, including 6-11 away from home. The offense is 27th in runs scored, 24th in on-base percentage, and 28th in slugging. Cleveland is just 23-33 after a victory. Tampa Bay's offense is fourth in runs scored, Top 10 in on-base percentage, fifth in slugging, and second in steals, while the pitching is fourth in ERA (3.80) and second in WHIP. The Rays have the second-best home record in the majors and have Aaron Civale (2.55 ERA) on the mound. Tampa Bay is 20-5 against catchers that allow 0.85 or more steals per game, plus 55-18 as home chalk of -150 or higher. Play Tampa Bay.